Friday, November 30, 2007

Tony's 5 College Picks


I'm 18-8 for the season and it's conference championship weekend, so here are the picks;


1. MAC-Central Michigan vs. Miami of Ohio @ Detroit
Neither of these teams are very good, but the MAC has to have a championship and these were the 2 teams that survived. Central Michigan won the title last year and is led by QB Dan LeFevour who leads the MAC in total yards and leads Central Michigan in both passing and rushing. The Chippewas are lucky they score so much because their D gives up 38 ppg, but Miami only puts up 20 ppg. I'm going with Central Michigan and their 1 man show at QB.
PICK: C. Michigan

2. C-USA-Tulsa vs. Central Florida @ Orlando
This game is a rematch from earlier this season where C. Florida beat Tulsa 44-23. C. Florida is led by Co-C-USA player of the year RB Kevin Smith (2164 rush yds) while Tulsa has the other Co POY QB Paul Smith (4327 pass yds). Tulsa doesn't play too much D, and UCF gets the title game at home, but something tells me Tulsa's spread offense wins out. PICK: Tulsa

3. ACC-#5 Virginia Tech vs. #12 Boston College @ Jacksonville
This game is also a rematch, in the first game V-Tech dominated the Eagles, but allowed them to score 2 TDs in the final 2:11. Virginia Tech has been on fire since that loss/wake up call and will have both of the QBs this time around as Tyrod Taylor missed the first game. Boston College has struggled in the 2nd half of the season but they have ACC POY QB Matt Ryan who seems to win games by himself, like the first VT game and another game BC got outplayed in, against Clemson. Its hard to beat a team twice in a season and the Hokies have been on the way up since the last meeting and BC on the way down. PICK: Virginia Tech

4. SEC-#7 LSU vs. #15 Tennessee @ Atlanta
LSU had a disastrous loss last week against Arkansas but that's what happens when you play in the SEC, LSU is easily one of the top 3 teams in the country, but because of their SOS, talent in the SEC and the BCS, LSU will not play in the BCS title game. Tennessee has finished the season with 5 straight wins, but this game would be a lot more entertaining had Georgia been playing LSU. LSU is also dealing with the possibility of coach Les Miles leaving for Michigan as well as D-coordinator Bo Pelini being a hot coaching prospect, who is long deserving of a head coaching job. PICK: LSU

5. Big 12-#2 Missouri vs. #8 Oklahoma @ San Antonio
I was really impressed with how Missouri sliced up Kansas last week, but now they play a game with even bigger stakes against a team they lost to earlier this year. Oklahoma won the first game 41-31, although the Tigers were without RB Tony Temple. Oklahoma lost to Texas Tech, 2 weeks ago after losing QB Sam Bradford to a concussion. "But for" the injury to Bradford Oklahoma would have the inside track at the BCS title game. As mentioned above with LSU, I think Oklahoma and USC, with a healthy JD Booty are the 3 best teams in the nation, none of which will be in the BCS title game (my guess is Ohio State vs. West Virginia) PICK:Oklahoma

Rankings used are from the USA Today Poll, check back later in the week for results.

Thursday, November 29, 2007

NFL 6 Pack Week 13 Picks


I'm 21-9 for the season, and here are this week's picks;

1. Green Bay vs. Dallas (Thurs)
Both teams come in 10-1 and look to be the class of the NFC. Dallas seems to be getting more attention then the Packers, but that suits Green Bay just fine. I think these teams when healthy are pretty evenly matched, but Favre is 0-8 in Dallas for his career, the Packers will be missing 2/4 of their secondary with Woodson and Rouse out. I'm going to have to go with Dallas at home. PICK: Cowboys


2. Cincinatti vs. Pittsburgh
Although the visiting team has won the last 4 meetings between these teams, the Bengals D has been awful this year. The Steelers should be able to control this game on the ground with RB Willie Parker. Last week the Steelers played the Dolphins in the mud on an awful field, and Pittsburgh is due for more rain this Sunday night, so it may be another mud bowl. PICK: Steelers

3. New England vs. Baltimore (Mon)
The Patriots escaped last week against a Philly team that gave them some trouble. This week New England should be more focused to prove that last week was a fluke. The struggling Pats D, now without Rosey Colvin should get a break this week vs. the dismal Ravens O. The only way the Ravens D could hang with the Pats O is to turn back the clock to 2000 when their D could single handily win a game. PICK: Patriots

4. NY Giants vs. Chicago
Last week the Eli Manning looked as if he was playing for the Vikings, throwing them 4 INTs, 3 returned for TD's. The Giants have made a habit of a second half implosion the past few seasons, so this game is important to their playoff hopes. The G-Men will be without RB Brandon Jacobs, CB Aaron Ross, and S Gibril Wilson, but should have RB Derrick Ward back. The Bears and QB Rex Grossman made a heroic comeback last week against Denver scoring 2 TDs late to force OT and getting the win. Devin Hester had 2 return TDs (Why is any team still kicking to this guy?) The Bears D has been banged up this year and here is to hoping Eli Manning has some pride and proves last week was not what Giants fans have to look forward to. PICK: Giants

5. Cleveland vs. Arizona
Both teams are fighting for playoff spots after years of playing for draft position. This game has the potential to be the shootout game of the week, Both teams can score, but only the Cards play a little defense. The Cards could be without WR Larry Fitzgerald and the Browns could be without WR Braylon Edwards. In a high scoring game at home I think the Cards find a way. PICK: Cardinals

6. NY Jets vs. Miami
In a game that IS really for draft position, this is the best chance for the Dolphins to grab a win, they are at home in the S. Florida heat vs. a team that is probably just as bad as they are. The Dolphins are coming off the short week and the Jets off a long break having played on Thanksgiving. It's either this week or next against the Bills for the Dolphins or they are going 0-16. PICK: Dolphins

Check back later in the week for results.

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Fantasy 5x5x5 Week 13


Each week I list 5 players I would start, 5 I would bench and 5 I might take a chance on.

Also, by now you should know to start your studs like Manning, Brady and LT, if not, you need more then my help. Now that bye weeks have ended most teams should have their core lineup set up, but some people are in leagues that start 2 QBs or 3-4 WRs, and we all must deal with the ill timed injury, so some owners may still need to adjust or tweak their lineups from week to week.


Also, Remember going forward there will be a Thursday night game every week.


5 guys I'm starting this week;

1. QB Kurt Warner AZ-Last week "Captain Flattop" threw for almost 500 yards last week against the 49ers, and this week expect a shootout with the Browns. The Browns are much improved on offense but not so much on D this year.

2. RB Justin Fargas Oak-Since getting the starting nod for the Raiders "Huggy Bear Jr." has been averaging 96 rushing yards per game. This week Oakland takes on Denver who is one of the worst run D's allowing 146ypg on the ground.

3. RB Steven Jackson Stl-S-Jax appears to be healthy again, has a favorable matchup vs. Atlanta and with QB Marc Bulger likley out this week look for S-Jax to carry the load. He was able to get 90 yds and a TD last week with Bulger missing most of the game.

4. RB Adrian Peterson Min-Look who's back! and he gets the Lions. Peterson was out on the field running and cutting before the Giants game last week, so I'm starting him and expecting big things from him.

5. QB Vince Young Tenn-Young has actually been carrying the Titans the last few weeks, especially since they have been playing from behind, you should remember what he did down the stretch last year.


5 guys I'm sitting this week;

1. RB Kevin Jones Det-I know I said to sit him last week and he had a big day, but that proves my point that he is inconsistant, after rushing for a combined 21 yds, he put up 93 and a TD vs. a good Packers D. Well, this week The Lions play the Vikings and unless your Ryan Grant they don't allow 100 yd rushers, and Detroit should be looking to exploit the Vikes weak secondary. I don't trust Jones.

2. RB Kolby Smith KC-I told you to take a chance on him last week and if you did, you should have been happy with 150 yds and 2 Tds, but this week he gets the Chargers who unless they are facing Adrian Peterson are a top run D. Sit Smith this week but have him ready for Denver in Week 14. Smith might be the first player to hit all 3 of my lists in a 3 week span.

3. WR Lee Evans Buf-News that Trent Edwards is back under center is bad news for Evans who had his best games with JP Losman leading the Bills O. He hasn't done much the last few weeks anyway.

4. Baltimore D-Not the invincible force of years past, but still a solid option, just not this week against the Patriots, who should be out to prove last week's close game with Philly was a fluke, you have to be able to find a better option for this week.

5. RB LenDale White Ten-Not a bad matchup but White hasn't been involved the last few games because the Titans have been playing from behind instead of letting him wear teams down in the 2nd half to protect a lead. Risky play because there is no inbetween with White, either a hundo or 12 yards, Is that a chance you want to take?


5 players I'm taking a chance on this week;

1. WR Patrick Crayton Dal-Crayton missed last week's game with an ankle injury, but is probable for Thursday's game. Shutdown corner Al Harris (Did you give him your Pro Bowl vote yet?) will be on Owens and with the possibilty of Charles Woodson missing the game, Crayton should have a mismatach in his favor.

2. Denver RB-Whoever is starting against Oakland they have given up big days as of late to "Fat" Ron Dayne, Chester Taylor and Kolby Smith. It looks like Selvin Young should be the healthy back this week, with Travis Henry and last week's starter Andre Hall both likely to be out. Keep an eye on the situation, if Young is out, Cecil Sapp and Mike Bell would be the other options.

3. WR Deion Branch Sea-After DJ Hackett left the game last week (likely out 2-4 weeks) Branch reclaimed his role as goto guy and with the Seahawks throwing alot, Branch should benefit. Also consider Bobby Engram.

4. RB Thomas Jones NYJ-He Hasn't given you much this year, but if he is going to do anything this is the week, the winless Dolphins coming off a short week, the only thing working against him besides the Jets offense being so bad is the South Florida heat.

5. QB Gus Frerotte Stl-The big chance of the week, he has a favorable matchup against Atlanta, he has Tory Holt to throw to, and S-Jax should attract a lot of attention in the box. Frerotte may be able to be your 2nd QB this week.

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

Sean Taylor 1983-2007


Another great athlete lost before his time. Prayers and condolences to the Taylor family.

Monday, November 26, 2007

NFL 6 Pack Week 12 Results 5-1




I was 5-1 this week, and 21-9 for the season.

1. Green Bay vs. Detroit
PICK:Packers RESULT Packers 37-26 Brett Favre had his way with the Packer's NFC North rival and set themselves up for their showdown Thursday with the Cowboys.
2. NY Jets vs. Dallas
PICK: Cowboys RESULT Cowboys 34-3 The Jets were no match for the Cowboys, who continue to look like a possible Super Bowl contender. Thursday's game against the Packers will determine the top team in the NFC.
3. Indianapolis vs. Atlanta
PICK:Colts RESULT Colts 31-13 After Atlanta jumed out to an early lead it was business as usual as Peyton Manning led the Colts to victory.

4. Philadelphia vs. New England
PICK: Patriots RESULT Patriots 31-28 A little bit of their own humble pie for the Pats, but they got it done. The Eagles just like the Colts showed that putting pressure on Brady is the key to slowing down the Pats passing game. When pressured, Brady's accuracy declined and he was not helped by his receivers who dropped a lot of passes. The Patriots running game continues to struggle and will force the Pats to live or die with the passing game going forward this season.
5. Miami vs. Pittsburgh
PICK: Pittsburgh RESULT Steelers 3-0 If you thought the field in London was bad, the NFL and Steelers should be embarrassed by the field in Pittsburgh last night, Field Turf should be expecting a call today for an estimate. The field made this game unsafe and unplayable. Thi was probably the best chance for the Dolphins to grab a win thus far but couldn't score any points.

6. NY Giants vs. Minnesota
PICK: Giants RESULT Vikings 41-17 There wasn't much the Giants did right, Eli Manning completed more TDs (3) to the Vikings then he did for his own team (1). The Giants continue to show how far a gap there is between the top teams in the NFC (Cowboys, Packers) and themselves.

Fantasy Football "On the Rise"


Here are some players who could see an increase in value this week, players are not listed in order of value.


1. WR Keenan McCardell Wash-Basically picked up off the street earlier this season, McCardell has been steady for the Skins, he has averaged 5.5 receptions and 68 yds in the last 2. WR Brandon Lloyd was put on IR last week and Santana Moss has had a case of the drops lately.

2. QB AJ Feeley Phi-Feeley accomplished something Donovan McNabb hasn't been able to do as of late, no not stay healthy, Feeley energized the Eagles offense. Feeley almost helped upset the mighty Pats by throwing for 345 yds, 3 TDs but also 3 INTS (2 late in the game) McNabb may be healthy next week, but there may be a QB controversy in Philly, could Feeley be this year's Jeff Garcia?

3. RB Adrian Peterson Chi-The "other" Adrian Peterson is not the beast that the rookie star is but this AP is not too bad. For weeks I have been wondering why the Bears would not give this guy more carries, with Ced Ben struggling big time. Well, after Benson's ankle injury (rumored to be season ending) Peterson got more carries, he didn't light the world on fire 17 carries for 45 yards, but he did have a TD and added 5 receptions for 41 yards. If Benson is out I think Peterson is the pick up of the week, provided you listened to Tony and picked up RB Kolby Smith last week.

4. QB Gus Frerotte Stl-Marc Bulger left yesterday's game with a concussion and his status for next week will not be known until later in the week. Hopefully if you have Bulger you have a better backup then having to pick up Frerotte, but he did throw a TD yesterday, does have Torry Holt to throw to, and the Rams play the Falcons next week.

5. RB Andre Hall Den-With Henry and Young out, Andre Hall got the start and nobody can make a nobody a star like the Broncos. Hall followed up his limited duty 89 yd, TD performance in Week 11 with 167 total yds and a TD in Week 12. Keep an eye on the status of Henry and Young this week. Hall's start also shows how far last year's undrafted gem Mike Bell has fallen in the pecking order.

6. WR Reggie Williams Jax-Williams has averaged 65.5 yds and has scored 3 TDs in his last 4 games. I'm not so high on Williams, he has most of his catches on unreliable long bombs and the Jags are a run first team.
7. WR Mike Williams Ten-The Titans reunite Mike Williams with former USC o-coordinator Norm Chow, and teammate LenDale White. Williams was a bust in Detroit after sitting out a year of football, former USC/current Raiders coach Kiffin gave him a shot and called him lazy and early reports have Williams reporting to the Titans weighing over 270 lbs. The Titans plan to give him a look at TE and H-back. Williams doesn't appear to be an immediate factor and shouldn't be added to your team.

Also, some readers have asked me about WRs Greg Lewis and Jabar Gaffney who both had big games in the Sunday nigther. I don't like either of them going forward. Lewis only had 4 catches on the season before last nights 4 catches, and he sits behind Westbrook, Curtis, Brown and Smith for looks. Gaffney has been a little more involved in the the offense than Lewis but he sits behind Moss, Welker, Stallworth, Watson and the Pats use K. Brady and Vrabel in the red zone. I think both players had their big games and no further attention should be given to them.

Remember to send your fantasy questions by clicking on the envelope below the article.

Tony College Top 5


Tony Top 5

Rank Team (Record) wins over ranked opponents
1. Missouri (11-1) Texas Tech, Nebraska, Kansas
2. West Virginia (10-1) Rutgers, Cincinatti, UConn
3. Ohio State (11-1) Penn State, Wisconsin, Michigan
4. LSU (10-2) Virgina Tech, S. Carolina, Florida, Auburn, Alabama
T5. Oklahoma (10-2) Missouri, Texas
T5. USC (9-2) Nebraska, California, Arizona State

Fell out of last week's top 5; Kansas

Sunday, November 25, 2007

Tony 's 5(6) College Picks Results 6-0


A big week for Tony, 6-0 puts me at 18-8 for the season.

1. #12 USC vs. #6 Arizona State
PICK: USC RESULT USC 44-24 USC dominated the Sun Devils and with Oregon's loss took control of the Pac 10. The Trojans are yet to lose a November game under Pete Carroll. A victory next week vs. UCLA will but USC in the Rose Bowl, an unlikely berth just a few weeks ago.

2. #14 Florida vs. Florida State
PICK: Florida FLORIDA 45-12 Not even the magnitude of this rivalry could get the Seminoles going, Florida pounded their instate rival, lead by QB Tim Tebow who added 5 more TDs to his Heisman resume, giving him 51 for the season. Tebow finished the game after breaking his right non throwing hand while scoring a TD early in the game. WR Percy Harvin returned to the lineup with 224 total yards and a TD.

3. #2 Kansas vs. #4 Missouri @ Kansas City
PICK: Missouri RESULT Missouri 36-28 For a lot of people this was the first time they got to see Kansas play and through the first 3 quarters you may have been asking yourself, how this team was undefeated as they couldn't execute on offense and looked to have no answer for Missouri's spread attack on D. Chase Daniel led Missouri's offensive attack with precision connecting with 9 different receivers on the night, and RB Tony Temple chipped in 98 bruising yards. Both teams had exciting freshman WRs Dezmon Briscoe for KU and Jeremy Maclin for Mizzou to keep your eye on in the next few years. Missouri moves on to face Oklahoma in the Big 12 title game and Kansas, as one sign read "Football tradition since, September" will get ready for basketball season. And please, someone in Lawrence, get coach Mangino on a treadmill, I held my cell phone in my hand ready to call 911 the entire game, figuring he could drop at any moment.

4. #8 Virginia Tech vs. #15 Virginia
PICK: Virginia Tech RESULT Virginia Tech 33-21 V Tech got the better of their rival in a back and fourth game and earned the rematch against Boston College in the ACC title game. Since the loss to BC, the Hokies have been playing their best ball outscoring opponents 144-59 and winning 5 games.
5. #17 Boise State vs. #13 Hawaii
PICK:Hawaii RESULT Hawaii 39-27 Hawaii finally got the monkey off their back by beating WAC rival Boise State, and capturing the division title. QB Colt Brennan threw 5 TDS giving him 126 for his career and moving him past former BYU Heisman QB, Ty Detmer who had 122. If Hawaii remains undefeated by beating Washington next week they would be in position to secure a BCS bowl berth, it would be the 2nd straight year a WAC team would crash the BCS.
6. #21 UCONN vs. #3 West Virginia
PICK:West Virginia RESULT West Virginia 66-21 UCONN's defense just couldn't keep up with the track meet the Mountaineers were running. QB Pat White has been carrying WVU the past few games and will try to carry them to the BCS title game.

Thursday, November 22, 2007

Fantasy 5x5x5 Week 12


Each week I list 5 players I would start, 5 I would bench and 5 I might take a chance on.

Also, by now you should know to start your studs like Manning, Brady and LT, if not, you need more then my help. Now that bye weeks have ended most teams should have their core lineup set up, but some people are in leagues that start 2 QBs or 3-4 WRs, and we all must deal with the ill timed injury, so some owners may still need to adjust or tweak their lineups from week to week.

5. players I'm starting this week

1. QB Brett Favre GB-Favre has found the fountain of youth and is already talking about playing next year. Favre has thrown for 10 TDs vs. 2 INTs in his last 4 games, and faces Detroit's 24th ranked D.

2. QB Tony Romo Dal-you should be starting him every week anyway, but last year on Thanksgiving Romo threw for 5 TDs against the Bucs, and this year he gets the dreadful Jets, So look for an extra big day from Romo.

3. RB Willie Parker Pit-The Steelers play the Dolphins this week. Parker averages over a hundred yards per game at home and the Dolphins are one of the worst run Ds.

4. WR DJ Hackett Sea-Last week, he was on the take a chance list, this week he gets the start. Since returning from his high ankle sprain, Hackett has increased his receptions and yards each week, he is averaging around a hundred yards and a TD in his last 3 games.

5. RB Maurice Jones-Drew Jax-He has scored a TD in each of his last 2 games, he has a good matchup against a Buffalo team that was demoralized by the Patriots last week. Also, consider last year MOJO Drew scored 10 of his 13 TDs in the 2nd half of the season.


5 guys I'm sitting this week

1. RB Kevin Jones Det-Jones has only rushed for 21 yards in the last 2 games combined, and Detroit should be playing from behind in this game and Jones may not get the carries, his only benefit may be in the passing game where he has 11 catches in the last 2 games.

2. RB Brian Westbrook Phi-You are never going to sit him but, he could be in for a tough night against the Pats. The Eagles will likely be without QB Donovan McNabb and that will allow New England to stack the box against Westbrook, his greatest benefit may be in the passing game with Feeley looking for the short dump off, often.

3. RB Jesse Chatman Mia-Believe it or not since Chatman took over the starting RB job, he has averaged over a 100 total ypg in three games. This week he gets the Steelers tough D, the Dolphins will be starting rookie QB Beck for his 2nd game and there is the possibility that RB Ricky "Smoke" Williams may be activated to steal some carries. Overall, just a bad matchup.

4. WR Lee Evans Buf-The Losman to Evans connection had been on fire until last week against the Pats where they only connected for 40 yards. The Bills draw another tough game against the Jags, and Evans will face CB Rashean Mathis this week. But there is always the chance of the big play with Evans, but that makes him a risky play. UPDATE: Mathis may miss the game for the Jags, if he is out Evans would benefit and have a slightly better matchup.

5. Seattle D-The Seattle D has been a solid play this season, especially against the weak NFC West where they are only allowing 8 pts per game. However this week they face a recently healthy Rams team that has won 2 straight and have moved the ball a lot better since QB Bulger and RB S-Jax have returned to the lineup.

5 guys to take a chance on this week

1. TE Donald Lee GB-The Packers are airing the ball out and everyone has been involved including Lee, who has averaged over 5o yds and a TD in the last 3 games.

2. RB Kolby Smith KC-With the retirement of RB Priest Holmes, and the ongoing injury to Larry Johnson, Smith is the only available RB, and has a good matchup against Oakland, who has allowed big games recently to "Fat" Ron Dayne and even Cedric Benson, Smith could be a guy to take a chance on. Smith also has a favorable schedule going forward.

3. RB Ron Dayne Hou-"Fat" Ron has averaged over hundo in his last 2 games and the Browns are allowing over 400 yds per game and over 136 yds on the ground. With RB Ahman Green's knee injury continuing to keep him out, Dayne may be a good play.

4. K Steven Gostkowski NE-Even though the Patriots, seem content on no longer attempting FG's, all those Xpts add up as Gostkowski has averaged 8.7 ppg.

5. WR Armani Toomer NYG-This is the big chance of the week pick, The Giants will likely be looking to pass the ball alot this week, with RB Brandon Jacobs likely out and the Vikings tough run D. The Vikings will try to take Burress out of the game plan and focus on Shockey which, could allow a lot of one on one coverage on Toomer. Toomer is usually good for one monster game a year, this could be it.

Tony's 5 College Picks


I'm 12-8 for the season, and there are so many good games this week, I'm going to pick 6.


1. #12 USC vs. #6 Arizona State
Both teams are still alive in the Pac 10 and one of these teams could end up in the Rose Bowl. Both teams lost to Oregon this season on the road. USC is finally healthy and has the experience needed to finish the season strong compared to an inexperienced ASU team. PICK: USC

2. #14 Florida vs. Florida State
Major rivalry, that has lost some of its luster over the past few years, due to Florida State's lack of success. No matter the records, both teams always play tough and this game should be no different. The Seminoles will try to do something not many teams have been able to do so far, stop QB Tim Tebow (46 total TDs) he is the most complete player this season and the likely Heisman front runner. The Gators will also benefit from the return of WR Percy Harvin. There are no league titles on the line for either team, just bragging rights. PICK: Florida

3. #2 Kansas vs. #4 Missouri @ Kansas City
Another major rivalry, (53-53-9) that takes on national attention this season because the winner gets a spot in the Big 12 title game vs. Oklahoma. Both teams have appeared to have come out of nowhere this season. Both teams have solid, undersized and underrated QBs Chase Daniel for Missouri and Todd Reesing for Kansas. Both teams can put up points averaging over 40 per game. Kansas has the better D, but these 2 teams are pretty evenly matched. #2 ranked teams have not fared well this year and while both QB's are winners, Chase Daniel was getting it done last year. PICK: Missouri

4. #8 Virginia Tech vs. #15 Virginia
88th meeting between these in-state rivals with a date in the ACC title game against BC on the line, not to mention a year of bragging rights. Virginia is 5-0 at home this season and their average margin of victory is only 6.9 this season. Tech has won 7 of the last 8 meetings. Both teams rely on their defenses. If not for their collapse in the final 2 minutes against BC, the Hokies may be in the national title picture. Look for V-Tech to get the rematch with BC.
PICK: Virginia Tech

5. #17 Boise State vs. #13 Hawaii
This game is for the WAC title, and possibly a BCS at large bid. The Broncos leave their blue turf to travel to Hawaii (sounds awful) Boise St. has won the last 6 WAC titles and has won 7 straight against the Warriors. QB Colt Brennan missed most of last week's game with a concussion, but is expected to start, he has thrown for 15 TDs with just 2 INTs at home this season and his next TD pass will make him the Division 1 all time leader in TD passes. It's Hawaii's turn to crash the BCS. PICK:Hawaii

6. #21 UCONN vs. #3 West Virginia
This one is for the Big East title and a BCS berth. UCONN brings its stingy D to the table while West Virginia relies on their speed option O, led by QB Pat White. With a chance at the BCS title still on the line, WVU will not be denied as their big game experience will trump UCONN. PICK:West Virginia