Sunday, December 30, 2007

NFL 6 Pack Week 17 Results


I was 4-2 this week, and I finished the regular season 41-19 for the season, 6-1 on Thursday games, 2-1 on Saturday games, 26-15 on Sunday games and 7-2 on Monday games. Here are this week's results;

1. New England vs. NY Giants (Sat.)
PICK: Patriots RESULT: Patriots 38-35 The Giants played their best 3 quarters of the season, but to beat the Patriots you need to play 4 of your best quarters. The G-men at one point led by 11 before letting the Patriots come back for the win, giving them a perfect 16 win regular season, causing former Dolphin Mercury Morris to call the police, because the Patriots are no lounging in his yard and using his pool.

2. Tennessee vs. Indianapolis
PICK: Titans RESULT: Titans 16-10 The Titans had a hard time competing with the Colts backups. After an injury to Vince Young, Kerry Collins came in and led the Titans to 2 FGs and the win. After 2 full seasons, is there anyone who still doubts the Texans knew what they were doing when they took DE Mario Williams over RB Reggie Bush and Young?

3. Dallas vs. Washington
PICK: Redskins RESULT: Redskins 27-6 Tony Romo and the Cowboys continued to struggle and along with T.O. will limp into the playoffs. The Redskins go into the playoffs on a major hot streak, having beaten the Vikings, Giants and Cowboys down the stretch.

4. San Fransisco vs. Cleveland
PICK: Browns RESULT: Browns 20-7 The Browns needed some help to make the playoffs from the Colts which they didn't get. The Browns were one of this year's surprise teams and will have high expectations heading into next season.

5. Minnesota vs. Denver
PICK: Vikings RESULT: Broncos 22-19 OT The Vikings didn't come out to play this game like they wanted to be in the playoffs. The Vikes made a late game comeback, that fell short with the OT loss, and again RB Adrian Peterson was M.I.A. in a game down the stretch (3 games under 40yds in his last 4), reminding us despite his flashes of greatness he is still a rookie, and a not a player that can carry a team by himself, yet.

6. New Orleans vs. Chicago
PICK: Saints RESULT: Bears 33-25 In a battle of two of the most disappointing teams of the season, Devin Hester put on a show scoring on a pass and a punt return. With the loss the Saints missed the playoffs after being a preseason Super Bowl contender.
Send Questions and Comments to Tony at: TTOHBLOG@hotmail.com

2007 Bowl Mania Picks 4


I finished the college season 22-9, I decided to pick all the Bowl games and these are the fourth set of picks; (Tony's Bowl record)


Outback Bowl-Wisconsin vs. Tennessee
Big 10 power vs. SEC speed
PICK: Tennessee RESULT: Tennessee 21-17 (14-8)

Cotton Bowl-Missouri vs. Arkansas
Lots of offense and little defense, McFadden and Daniel should be fun to watch, also pay attention to Mizzou WR Jeremy Maclin.
PICK: Missouri RESULT: Missouri 38-7 (15-8)

Gator Bowl-Virginia vs. Texas Tech
There is no such thing as slowing down Tech and UVA doesn't have the offense to put up a lot of points. Take a look at Biletnikoff winner Michael Crabtree only a redshirt freshman.
PICK: Texas Tech Texas Tech 31-28 (16-8)

Capital One Bowl-Florida vs. Michigan
Michigan should finally be healthy, but rumor has it that even Lloyd Carr will be wearing Tim Tebow underwear.
PICK: Florida RESULT: Michigan 41-35 (16-9)

Rose Bowl-USC vs. Illinois
USC is one of the top 3 teams in the country and Illinois was #3 in the Big 10?
PICK: USC RESULT: USC 49-17 (17-9)

Sugar Bowl-Hawaii vs. Georgia
Hawaii hasn't faced a team with this much speed and power, but the key will be how well Georgia can make halftime adjustments to Hawaii's high powered offense.
PICK: Georgia RESULT: Georgia 41-10 (18-9)


Fiesta Bowl-Oklahoma vs. West Virginia
Could have been a title game matchup, but... WVU is coachless and Oklahoma should be next season's preseason #1. If you hadn's seen WVU's Noel Devine, now you know.
PICK: Oklahoma RESULT: West Virginia 48-28 (18-10)

Orange Bowl-Kansas vs. Virginia Tech
Kansas didn't have the players to run with Mizzou, I don't see them hanging with V-Tech.
PICK:Virginia Tech RESULT: Kansas 24-21 (18-11)

International Bowl-Rutgers vs. Ball State
Will anybody in Canada show up for this one?
PICK: Rutgers RESULT: Rutgers 52-3o (19-11)

GMAC Bowl-Tulsa vs. Bowling Green
Take the over, there could be a 100 points put up in this one.
PICK: Tulsa RESULT: Tulsa 63-7 (20-11)

BCS Title Game-Ohio State vs. LSU
Ohio St. knows what to expect from an SEC team this year, much of the same as last year.
PICK: LSU RESULT: LSU 38-24 (21-11)

Friday, December 28, 2007

NFL 6 Pack Week 17 Picks


I'm 37-17 for the season, 6-1 on Thursday games, 1-1 on Saturday games, 23-13 on Sunday games and 7-2 on Monday games. Week 17 is usually a tough week to pick with many playoff teams resting some of their players, so besides the nationally televised games I tried to pick the games with playoff implications. Here are this week's picks;

1. New England vs. NY Giants (Sat.)
Both teams are already in the playoffs, but the Patriots are still playing for the undefeated season. If Belichick goes for it on 4th and long, instead of kicking FGs, I don't see him resting his players until the game is well in hand. The Giants on the other hand have nothing to gain in this game and will likely try to rest players and they have not played well at home this season. PICK: Patriots

2. Tennessee vs. Indianapolis
The Colts are set as the AFC #2 and we will likely see a lot more of Jim Sorgi then Peyton Manning in this one, although if Marvin Harrison actually plays, Manning may play a little longer to work on their timing. The Titans need to win to get into the playoffs, a loss will put the Browns in, so I expect Tenn. to play "balls to the wall" and pull it out. PICK: Titans

3. Dallas vs. Washington
Another game where one team (Dallas) is already set and the other team (Washington) must win to get in. Dallas has already said Owens and Newman will sit out, it is likely Romo (thumb) and Barber will not play long. Washington has looked hungry the last few games beating teams they were fighting for position with (Giants, Vikings.) After the Owens injury, I expect Dallas to be extra cautious, the Skins win and get in. PICK: Redskins

4. San Francisco vs. Cleveland
The Browns don't need to win to earn a wildcard spot, but they need the Titans to lose. The Niners will be starting their 4th QB, Chris Weinke who threw for 423 yards against the Giants last season, in a late season start for the Panthers. However this time around Weinke signed with the 49ers only a few weeks ago and will run a limited playbook. PICK: Browns

5. Minnesota vs. Denver
After the Vikings loss to the Skins last week, they now need a win and the Skins to lose to earn a wildcard spot. The Vikes running game should tear apart the Denver run D, one of the worst in the league. After watching Denver on Monday night, the Vikings should have no problem winning this one. PICK: Vikings

6. New Orleans vs. Chicago
After stumbling last week against the Eagles, the Saints need a win and both the Vikings and the Redskins to lose to earn a playoff spot. These two teams were matched up in last year's NFC title game. The Saints will get their revenge on the Bears, but will likely still miss the playoffs. PICK: Saints
Send Questions or Comments to Tony at: TTOHBLOG@hotmail.com

Friday Night Lights "The Confession"


The episode begins with Landry at the police station trying to confess to the murder of Tyra's attacker. The police keep asking Landry if the man was trying to hurt Tyra, and Landry keeps telling them he wanted to kill him. Landry's dad drags him out of the police station before he can incriminate himself any further.

We see Saracen and Carlotta making out in his bed, when Grandma knocks on the door, Carlotta hides under the sheets and Grandma asks Saracen if he knows who ate her snackwells.

Coach Taylor tells Riggans as part of his earning his way back on to the football team he will be helping with some of the sports departments duties.

Herc and Street are looking at an online dating site for girls who like guys in wheelchairs, and of course all the girls are smoking. Street decides to contact one, Isabella and they set up a date.

Buddy Garrity is still telling everyone how good Santiago will be if given some playing time, despite that Santiago has been struggling at practice and failing to pick up football.

Landry's dad tells Tyra that Landry talked to the police and gives her the name of a lawyer for her. Tyra goes to Landry's house to yell at him for talking to the police. Landry tells her he just couldn't keep the secret any longer. The lawyer tells Landry his best defense is to say that he was acting in self defense to protect Tyra. Landry continues to say he killed the man.

Riggans' roommate Guy is causing a disturbance at a school gymnastics event and Riggans has to ask him to leave.

Buddy is quizzing Santiago on his football plays and he is just not getting it. On the way to the game Santiago has a major anxiety attack and yells at Buddy and tells him he isn't his father and he doesn't need him or football. Buddy gives him a pep talk about seizing the moment and not ending up back in juvi. Santiago tells Buddy he hates him and they continue to the game.

Julie gets into an argument with Tami, and tells her she feels under appreciated since Gracie was born and that all she is looking for is a thank you, and storms out, Tami, says she thinks a thank you would be nice also.

Landry tells the police he was acting in self defense, and trying to save Tyra and himself.

Street and Isabella are out on their date and she tells Jason she looks on the website because she is looking for more open minded people, then she tells him that "pee" gets her going. She gets up to go to the bathroom, Street freaks out and asks the waitress to tell Isabella he had to leave. The waitress tells Isabella, who dumps her drink on the waitress and storms out.

Before the game Santiago is throwing up in the bathroom. The Panthers are struggling in their game, losing 28-13 at the half, mainly because the Panthers aren't putting any pressure on the opposing QB. Buddy asks Taylor to put in Santiago, and eventually Taylor puts him in. The first few plays Santiago gets blown up by blockers and taunted afterward. Then in one of those miraculous "Hulkamania" moments Santiago starts huffing and puffing and channels all this strength. Then on the next play Santiago sheds the blocker and blindsides the QB causing a fumble that is recovered by the Panthers and the crowd goes wild and Santiago likes the attention. After the game Buddy tells Santiago he changed the momentum of the game, that he was a hero. Santiago kind of apologizes to Buddy and says thank you to him.

The waitress drives Street home, and she is sharing her own dating nightmares, he thanks her for helping him out at the restaurant and then they kiss.

Guy wakes up Riggans and tells him he forgot to feed the ferrets, Guy is drunk and pointing a gun at him. Guy tells him he is joking and he should come down and meet his friends. Riggans tells them he is going to go get some Vodka and takes off. Coach Taylor finds Riggans sleeping in his car in front of his house the next morning, Taylor gives him a sleeping bag. I'm still thinking there is that other bunk bed over at Buddy's place.

Street tells his parents he is moving in with Herc.

The show ends with Landry telling Tyra that the police are not pressing charges.





2007 Bowl Mania Picks 3


I finished the college season 22-9, I decided to pick all the Bowl games and these are the third set of picks; (Tony's Bowl record)


Carcare Bowl-Wake Forest vs. UCONN
UCONN's running game vs. Wake's run D, in a near home game for Wake Forest.
PICK: UCONN RESULT: Wake Forest 24-10 (8-4)

Liberty Bowl-Central Florida vs. Mississippi St.
UCF RB Kevin Smith tries to break Barry Sanders single season rushing record, he needs 181. Smith finished 61 yards short of Sanders' record.
PICK: UCF RESULT: Mississippi St. 10-3 (8-5)

Alamo Bowl-Texas A&M vs. Penn St.
Paterno vs. an interim coach.
PICK: Penn St. RESULT: Penn St. 24-17 (9-5)

Independence Bowl-Alabama vs. Colorado
Saban needs the win, for a winning season, but even that won't justify his contract.
PICK: Alabama RESULT: Alabama 30-24 (10-5)

Armed Forces Bowl-Air Force vs. California
Cal has a ton of talent, but they gave up on the season a long time ago.
PICK: Air Force RESULT Cal 42-36 (10-6)

Sun Bowl-Oregon vs. South Florida
Hard to believe both of these teams were ranked #2 at some point this season.
PICK: South Florida RESULT: Oregon 56-21 (10-7)

Humanitarian Bowl-Georgia Tech vs. Fresno St.
PICK: Fresno St. RESULT: Fresno St. 40-28 (11-7)

Music City Bowl-Kentucky vs. Florida St
After the academic scandal, it looks like the Seminoles will be bringing the JV team.
PICK: Kentucky RESULT: Kentucky 35-28 (12-7)

Insight Bowl-Oklahoma St. vs. Indiana
If healthy, pay attention to OSU WR Adarius Bowman
PICK: Oklahoma St. RESULT: Oklahoma St. 49-33 (13-7)

Chick-fil-A Bowl-Clemson vs. Auburn
I'm interested to see what likely 2008 ACC player of the year candidate QB Cullen Harper does.
PICK: Clemson RESULT: Auburn 23-20 OT (13-8)

Send Comments or Questions to Tony at: TTOHBLOG@hotmail.com

NFL 6 Pack Week 16 Results 4-2


I bounced back from last week, to go 4-2 this week, I'm 37-17 for the season, 6-1 on Thursday games, 1-1 on Saturday games, 23-13 on Sunday games and 7-2 on Monday games.

1. Pittsburgh vs. St. Louis (Thurs.)
PICK: Steelers RESULT: Steelers 41-24 The big news here was the Steelers' loss of NFL rushing leader, Willie Parker for the season. RB Najeh "Dookie" Davenport stepped in, and contributed 123 rushing yards and added 2 TDs. The Steelers top rated D continues to struggle despite the win.

2. Dallas vs. Carolina (Sat.)
PICK: Dallas RESULT: Cowboys 20-13 The injuries continued in this game, as Terrell Owens suffered a ankle injury, that could derail the Cowboys playoff run. A high ankle sprain typically takes 4 weeks to heal and that would put Owens back on the field for the NFC title game, but love him or hate him, never count T.O. out, this guy not only played in the Super Bowl after fracturing his fibula and spraining his ankle, but dominated in Philly's loss to New England. With the Packers' loss in Week 16 the Cowboys clinched home field throughout the playoffs.

3. Washington vs. Minnesota
PICK: Vikings RESULT: Redskins 32-21 The Vikings came into this game one of the hottest teams in the NFL, but it was the Redskins who played like the hot team, and as a result of the win control their playoff destiny. A win this week against a Dallas team that will likely rest some of their players will result in a playoff spot for the Skins.

4. Denver vs. San Diego (Mon.)
PICK: Chargers RESULT: Chargers 23-3 The Chargers only needed to play LT for a half and the Broncos left everything at home, including their pride.

5. NY Giants vs. Buffalo
PICK: Giants RESULT: Giants 38-21 This game had everything rain, sleet, snow and 50mph winds. The Bills jumped out to a 14-0 lead before the Giants took over with their running game and controlled the rest of the game. An interception for a TD by Kawika Mitchell sealed the victory and a playoff spot for the Giants.

6. Philadelphia vs. New Orleans
PICK: Saints RESULT: Eagles 38-23 The Saints couldn't afford to let the Eagles come into their home stadium and beat them, if they wanted to grab a playoff spot, and that's exactly what the Saints let happen. The Eagles spoiled the Saints attempt for a third straight victory and now the Saints need a win and some help to make the playoffs.


Send Questions and Comments to Tony at: TTOHBLOG@hotmail.com

Sunday, December 23, 2007

Thursday, December 20, 2007

2007 Bowl Mania Picks 2



I finished the college season 22-9, I decided to pick all the Bowl games and these are the second set of picks; (Tony's Bowl record)


Hawaii Bowl-Boise St vs. East Carolina
How can you pick against Boise State in a Bowl game after what they did to Oklahoma last year.
Pick: Boise St. RESULT: East Carolina 41-38 (5-1)

Motor City Bowl-Central Michigan vs. Purdue
C. Michigan QB Dan LeFevour is a one man show, but he doesn't play D, so...
Pick: Purdue RESULT: Purdue 51-48 (6-1)

Holiday Bowl-Arizona St. vs. Texas
Texas has a suspect secondary. Secondary looked ok to me.
Pick: Arizona St. RESULT: Texas 52-34 (6-2)

Champs Sports Bowl-Michigan State vs. Boston College
Boston College got a much lower ranked Bowl because their fans don't travel well.
Pick: Boston College RESULT: Boston College 24-21 (7-2)

Texas Bowl-TCU vs. Houston
Pick: Houston RESULT TCU 20-13 (7-3)

Emerald Bowl-Oregon St vs. Maryland
Pick: Oregon St Oregon St 21-14 (8-3)

Fantasy 5x5x5 Week 16


Each week I list 5 players I would start, 5 I would bench and 5 I might take a chance on.
Also, by now you should know to start your studs like Manning, Brady and LT, if not, you need more then my help. Now that bye weeks have ended most teams should have their core lineup set up, but some people are in leagues that start 2 QBs or 3-4 WRs, and we all must deal with the ill timed injury, so some owners may still need to adjust or tweak their lineups from week to week. This is the championship for many fantasy leagues, and I would recommend staying with the guys that got you there, but ask the owners of P. Manning, T. Brady, T. Romo, R. Moss and T.O. how they felt last week when their studs let them down.

Also, Remember going forward there will be Thursday/Saturday night games.

These are 5 guys I'm starting this week;

1. RB Brandon Jacobs NYG-With the Giants passing game struggling, and their playoff hopes fading their is a good chance they are going to rely heavily on the "Man Beast" this week.

2. QB Kurt Warner AZ-6 straight games with atleast 2 TD passes, Boldin and Fitzgerald are getting healthy and Atlanta is giving up the 3rd most fantasy points to QBs.

3. QB Drew Brees NO-Brees has 10 TDs and 1 INT in his last 4 games, the Saints are fighting for the playoffs and the early season struggles are long gone.

4. RB Earnest Graham TB-7 TDs in his last 6 games and decent matchup against the Niners.

5. RB Fred Taylor Jax-"Fountain of Youth" Fred has been on fire rushing for over a hundo in the past 4 games, while splitting carries with MOJO Drew. Taylor also has 3 TDs in that span. If that's not enough, Oakland's run D is atrocious.

5 guys I'm sitting this week;

1. RB Clinton Portis Wash-The Vikings have the top run D allowing only 67 ypg. Portis should be in for a long day.

2. QB Eli Manning NYG-See Brandon Jacobs above, Manning hasn't thrown for over 200 yards in the past 3 games and hasn't thrown for more than 1 TD since week 7.

3. Baltimore D-Seattle's pass first offense should be able to exploit Baltimore's weak link, the secondary. Ray Lewis will be out with a hand injury and Seattle has averaged 24+ points in their last 7 games.

4. WR Steve Smith Car-Matt Moore hooked up 8 times with Smith last week, but this week Smith will draw coverage from Pro Bowler Terrance Newman and likely be doubled by a safety. The Cowboys will take Smith out of the game and make someone else beat them.

5. RB Dominic Rhodes Oak-While he was a hot pickup this week after the injury to Justin Fargas, his matchup with the Jags is less than stellar.

5 players I'm taking a chance on this week;

1. WR Roydell Williams Tenn-The Titans play the Jets this week, who unless they are playing in the snow does not stop many people. Williams has 3 TDs and a 66ypg average in his last 3 games. WR Brandon Jones was put on IR, so Williams is Young's new go to guy.

2. QB Jeff Garcia TB-Garcia returns to his old stomping grounds SF (I'm sure he's glad, T.O. won't be there.) Garcia has atleast 1 TD pass in 7 of his last 8 games.

3. WR Kevin Curtis Phi-The Saints secondary has allowed 26 passing TDs this season and I look for this game to be a shootout, I like Curtis to do some damage.

4. QB Jon Kitna Det-KC has a solid D, allowing less than 200 passing yards per game. However the Lions play better at home 4-3 and Kitna has only thrown 5 INTs at home this season.

5. QB Chris Redman Atl-In the big chance of the week, I'm going with Redman who had 2 solid, 2 TD games against weak D's before his struggles against a tough TB Defense last week. this week the Falcons play the Cards who are without secondary leader SS Adrian Wilson. The Falcons should be forced to pass to keep up with Warner, Redman could be good for 2 TDs has he tries to prove he deserves an NFL job next year over the AFL job he had before.
Send Questions and comments to Tony at: TTOHBLOG@hotmail.com


NFL 6 Pack week 16 Picks


Lets hope this week goes better then last week. I'm 33-15 for the season, 5-1 on Thursday games, 0-1 on Saturday games, 22-11 on Sunday games and 6-2 on Monday games.

1. Pittsburgh vs. St. Louis (Thurs.)
The Steelers are coming off 2 tough losses and don't typically play well on the road, but the Rams don't play well at home. The Steelers need to get back on track before the playoffs start and the Rams are just playing out the sched. Both teams have a short week to prepare and recover, S-Jax had 28 touches last week compared to Willie Parker only having 16. PICK: Steelers
2. Dallas vs. Carolina (Sat.)
Dallas has struggled the past two weeks, winning one close game and losing another. The Panthers are down to their 4th QB Matt Moore and have lost 6 of their last 8. Dallas should be motivated to rebound and protect their home field advantage for the playoffs. PICK:Dallas
3. Washington vs. Minnesota
This game is basically a playoff game, with the loser likely out of the NFC mix . The Vikings are on a 5 game winning streak while the Redskins have not been able to put together a streak of more than 2 wins. The Vikings stout run D will look to shut down Portis and force QB Todd Collins to attack their weak secondary. If the Vikings can put more pressure on Collins, than the Giants did last week they will be successful in slowing the Redskins offense. The Skins need to also shut down the Vikings run game, as Peterson and Taylor have been the fire behind the recent win streak. PICK:Vikings
4. Denver vs. San Diego (Mon.)
AFC west rivals always play better than the records indicate, but the Chargers are finally starting to look like the team everyone expected them to be winning 4 straight. The Chargers have locked up a playoff spot and may look to rest LT, but he should be able to slice up the Denver run D, before Turner (if healthy) and Sproles do more of the same. PICK:Chargers
5. Philadelphia vs. New Orleans
The Saints are still in the playoff hunt in the NFC, have won 3 of their last 4 and Sean Payton has their offense scoring points like they did last season. However, the Saints defense will allow a ton of points and fantasy's new most hated player Brian Westbrook is always a threat to take over a game, when he's not downing the ball at the one. Look for this game to be a high scoring affair and the Saints to score just a little bit more. PICK:Saints
6. NY Giants vs. Buffalo
Here we go again with the struggling G-men, they need a win to clinch a NFC wildcard spot. The Giants passing game is very broken and losing Shockey will not help. The Giants will need to rely heavily on RB Brandon Jacobs to hold on to the ball and carry the offense. The Bills will be fired up with TE Kevin Everett expected to be at the game. Coughlin is coaching for his job, I know I sound like a broken record with the Giants, but they have to find a way to win. PICK:Giants
Send Questions or Comments to Tony at TTOHBLOG@hotmail.com

2007 Bowl Mania Picks 1


I finished the college season 22-9 and I thought about maybe choosing 12 Bowls to pick, but I thought hey why not just pick them all; (Tony's Bowl record)

Poinsettia Bowl-Utah vs. Navy
Both teams can score, only Utah can play D.
Pick: Utah RESULT: Utah 35-32 (1-0)

New Orleans Bowl-Memphis vs Florida Atlantic
Pick:Florida Atlantic RESULT: Florida Atlantic 44-27 (2-0)

Papa Johns Bowl-Southern Miss. vs. Cincinnati
Love Cinci's spread offense.
Pick: Cincinnati RESULT: Cincinnati 31-21 (3-0)

New Mexico Bowl-Nevada vs. New Mexico
Can't pick against New Mexico in their own Bowl.
Pick: New Mexico RESULT: New Mexico 23-0 (4-0)

Las Vegas Bowl-UCLA vs. BYU
UCLA doesn't have a coach.
Pick:BYU RESULT BYU 17-16 (5-0)

Wednesday, December 19, 2007

NFL 6 Pack Week 15 Results 2-4


Ouch! My first losing week on NFL games, I was 2-4 for the week. I'm 33-15 for the season, 5-1 on Thursday games, 0-1 on Saturday games, 22-11 on Sunday games and 6-2 on Monday games.

Here are the Week 15 results;

1. Denver vs. Houston (Thurs.)
PICK: Denver RESULT: Texans 31-13 Houston played a balanced game led by QB Sage Rosenfels who threw for a TD and rushed for a TD. Denver's Brandon Marshall, was a one man show with 11 catches but couldn't do it by himself. Mario Williams sure looked like the #1 overall draft choice the Texans were hoping for with 3.5 sacks

2. Cincinnati vs. San Fransisco (Sat.)
PICK: Bengals RESULT: 49ers 20-13 The Bengals are a mess, QB Carson Palmer and WR Chad Johnson just don't look like they're not on the same page, they don't even look like they are using the same play book. It seems almost criminal (no pun on the Bengals off field activities) that the Bengals let QB Shaun Hill have his way with them, 75% passing and 2 total TDs. It was nice to see Frank "The Tank" Gore have a good game, even if it was against the Bengals. Earlier in the week, Marvin Lewis was asked about his D's struggles, and Lewis who was hired as a D specialist, said that's not my D, I have another responsibilities, What? I can't see Lewis coming back next season.

3. Washington vs. NY Giants
PICK: Giants RESULT: Redskins 22-10 Another abysmal game by the Giants, not sure they deserve to make the playoffs, after yet another 2nd half swoon this season. The Giants passing game hasn't been able to get on track in weeks, receivers dropping balls has not lallowed Eli, to gain any confidence. Why the Giants D waited until the 2nd half to blitz and put pressure on QB Todd Collins is beyond me. The Redskins look like a team who wants to be in the playoffs and the Giants look like a team that doesn't even want to play out December.

4. Chicago vs. Minnesota (Mon.)
PICK: Vikings RESULT: Vikings 20-13 The Vikings got their 5th straight win, while playing a sloppy game, but still seem to be the most deserving of the teams fighting for the NFC wildcard spots. QB Tavaris Jackson threw 3 INTs and lost a fumble, and while Peterson (Min) was not spectacular his 2 TDs were the difference. Kyle Orton did nothing to make the Bears think he can be the starter next season, but LB Brian Urlacher had his best game of the year making 6 tackles, a INT, Fumble Recovery and 2 sacks.

5. Jacksonville vs. Pittsburgh
PICK: Steelers RESULT: Jaguars 29-22 So much for the Steelers' undefeated play at home, dominating run D (224 yds allowed) and Florida teams not playing well in the cold and snow. The Jags had a late 22-7 lead before allowing the Steelers to tie the game at 22, then "Fountain of Youth" Fred Taylor scored the winning TD capping off his 147 yard day.

6. Arizona vs. New Orleans
PICK: Saints RESULT Saints 31-24 Nobody believed this game was going to be a defensive battle, and you were probably happy if you had one of these QBs on your fantasy team. Another solid game by RB Aaron Stecker (95 yds rushing, 6 rec, 46 rec yards, and 2 TDs) Watching Stecker's success, it kind of makes you wonder why Reggie Bush can't put up those types of numbers.

Send questions or comments to Tony at TTOHBLOG@hotmail.com

Monday, December 17, 2007

Fantasy Football "On The Rise"


Since most fantasy leagues have their championships this week and a lot of NFL playoff teams rest players in week 17, this will be the last "On The Rise" of the season. Some might say, hey my team is in the finals, I'm all set, well ask the owners who played Aaron Stecker last week if he made a difference. Also, how many owners had Brady, Peyton Manning, Romo, T.O., Moss, Derek Anderson, and are sitting at home this week? My guess is many. One more, how many owners have sent hate mail to Brian Westbrook for pulling up and downing the ball on the 1 yd line?

Anyway, here are some players who could be on the rise this week, and as always they are not listed in value order;

1. WR Anthony Gonzalez Ind-He probably should have been on the list last week but, he had yet to show the consistency I was looking for, that changed this week. Gonzo has averaged 87 yds in the last 4 and scored 3TDs in that span. Gonzalez has benefited from the absence of Marvin Harrison and since earning the trust of Manning seems to have replaced Dallas Clark as the #2 option in the passing game. After Sunday's game Tony Dungy said he will rest some of his players in the next two games, that may not include Gonzalez who can still benefit from the game reps even if Jim Sorgi is slinging him passes.

2. RB Dominic Rhodes Oak-Probably still wishing he was on the Colts, because this season hasn't gone as he hoped in Oakland. With the sprained MCL of "Huggy Bear Jr" Justin Fargas, Rhodes got the reps because Lamont Jordan was inactive. With nothing to play for, there is no need to rush Fargas back, so it looks like Rhodes will get a shot to show something, the Raiders already saw what Jordan had this season and that wasn't much after week 4. Chances are that either Rhodes or Jordan are gone next year. Whomever starts has a tough matchup against Jacksonville who only allows 94.4 ypg.

3. WR Greg Camarillo Mia-The face of the Dolphins first (only?) win of 2007, had 109 yds and a TD, 64 yds on the TD. I wouldn't get too excited for the rest of this season, he is the #4 Wr on the worst team in the league. One thing I find interesting is that he has followed a similiar path to one of this year's breakout WRs, Wes Welker, Both started their careers as #5 WRs for the Chargers, when Cam Cameron took the Dolphins jopb he brought Camarillo with him, following Welker's path to the Dolphins, it is conceivable that either Booker or Hagan are gone next season and Camarillo gets the #3 slot spot next season.

4. TE Kevin Boss NYG-"The Big Boss Man" he caught a TD after entering the game for the injured Jeremy Shockey. Boss is 6 feet, 6 inches, and by watching the Giants receivers drop numerous passes over the past few games, may have the best hands on the team. If you lost Shockey this week, chances are there aren't many TE's on your waiver wire, Boss could end the season like Denver's Tony Scheffler did last season, on fire.

5. QB Chad Pennington NYJ-With the rib injury to Kellen Clemens, Chad becomes fantasy relevant again, however it is a little alarming that the Jets, in their biggest game of the year decided to use their Brad Smith, speed option package before turning to Pennington. I would steer clear of any Jet.

6. RB Darren Sproles SD-Sproles put up 122 yds and 2 TDs in a garbage time for the Chargers in their blowout win.The Chargers wanted to rest LT, who is healthy and even if #2 Michael Turner's shoulder injury causes him to miss time, Sproles is not a good option unless you play in a league that counts return yards.

7. QB Shaun Hill SF-Another guy I wouldn't get too excited about, but after holding a clipboard for the Vikings in 2005 and this season for the Niners, he steps in and completes 75% of his passes, passes for a TD and rushes for a TD, he deserves a honorable mention.
Send Questions or Comments to Tony at: TTOHBLOG@hotmail.com

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Thursday, December 13, 2007

Fantasy 5x5x5 Week 15


Each week I list 5 players I would start, 5 I would bench and 5 I might take a chance on.

Also, by now you should know to start your studs like Manning, Brady and LT, if not, you need more then my help. Now that bye weeks have ended most teams should have their core lineup set up, but some people are in leagues that start 2 QBs or 3-4 WRs, and we all must deal with the ill timed injury, so some owners may still need to adjust or tweak their lineups from week to week.

Also, Remember going forward there will be Thursday/Saturday night games.

Here are 5 guys to start this week:
1. QB Jay Cutler Den-Coming off his best game of the year where he threw 4 TDs, Houston has a banged up secondary that Cutler will look to attack.

2. WR Marques Colston NO-Colston has looked more like last years stud in the 2nd half of 08 then the early season dud. Colston should be in for another big game when the Saints face the Cardinals, who are giving up the most points to fantasy WRs.

3. Ernest Graham TB-Graham is averaging 93.6 ypg over his last 5 games and has scored 6 TDs in that span, with Jeff Garcia likely to return the Bucs will most likely rely on the run against the Falcons.

4. RB Joseph Addai Ind-Not a lot of yards last week against Baltimore but I'll take his 3 TDs, this week the Colts play Oakland, who is one of the weaker run D's

5. RB Adrian Peterson Min-Last week's 3 yd game probably cost some teams their playoff game, but if you survived you have to play Peterson against the Bears, who he ripped for 224 yds and 3 TDs earlier in the season.

Here are 5 guys to sit this week:

1. WR Donte Stallworth NE-Seems to have been replaced by Jabar Gaffney after a few drops, the Pats have a great matchup with the Jets this week, but the chances for Stallworth seem gone.

2. RB Kolby Smith KC-This guy has been all over this list in the past 4 weeks. He was a major letdown last week struggling and suffering an ankle injury against a week Denver run D. This week he faces a Titans team that has regained their strength against the run with the return of DT Albert Haynesworth.

3. RBs Fred Taylor/MOJO Drew Jax-Taylor has been hot and Drew has not, but this week the Jags face the Steelers in Pittsburgh who only allowed 22 yds to the Patriots last week.

4. WR Javon Walker Den-He will start Thurs. with Stokley out but he is at less then 100% and hasn't been that involved in the offense since his return from yet another knee injury. Also with the resigning of Brandon Stokley, Walker appears to be on his way out of town.

5. RB Clinton Portis Wash-Only averaging 47 ypg over the last 4, but with Collins at QB the Skins will lean on him, but the Giants will stack the box and limit Portis.

Here are 5 guys to take a chance on this week:

1. QB Sage Rosenfels Hou-Rosenfels has filled in nicely for Houston when needed, he has thrown atleast a TD in each game he has played this year.

2. WR Lee Evans Buf-He likes playing with Losman better than Edwards but, the Bills play the Browns who give up a lot of points and Evans tends to come up big in December games.

3. RB Aaron Stecker NO-Look for the Saints to jump out to an early lead through the air and finish with the run with Stecker and Pierre Thomas.

4. RB Laurence Maroney NE-The forecast in New England is for heavy snow on Sunday which may limit the New England passing attack, and force the Pats to rely on the run.

5. RB Thomas Jones NYJ-In the Big chance of the week, I'm using the same reasoning as with Maroney coupled with the fact that the Patriots have been allowing monster games on the ground, and anything can happen in the snow.

You can send questions and comments to Tony at TTOHBLOG@hotmail.com

NFL 6 Pack Week 15 Picks


I'm 31-11 for the season, 5-0 on Thursday games, 21-9 on Sunday games and 5-2 on Monday games. I was recently asked how I determine what games to pick, and here is the answer I pick the Thursday, Sunday and Monday night games because they are nationally televised, this week there is a Saturday night game and I fill in the rest with games of interest maybe for the playoffs or for example Dolphins vs. Jets, a few weeks ago, because the Jets are trying to get a win. Here are this week's picks;

1. Denver vs. Houston (Thurs.)
Teacher Mike Shanahan vs. pupil Gary Kubiak. The Broncos are coming off perhaps their best game of the year, and Jay Cutler looked confidant last week throwing 4 TDs. Sage Rosenfels gets the start for Houston, but they will likely be without RB Ron Dayne and may turn to undrafted rookie Darius Walker. Both teams have slim playoff hopes, but both are teams that could use this win as they build for next season. The Broncos are only 2-4 on the road and Houston is coming off a strong win at home against Tampa Bay. PICK: Broncos

2. Cincinnati vs. San Fransisco (Sat.)
Both teams had high hopes coming into the season and now are just playing out the schedule and to make things worse, the 49ers 1st round draft pick is going to the Patriots. The Bengals passing game will be hard for the Niners secondary to stop. And if you thought the 49ers offense was bad under Alex Smith and Trent Dilfer, who knows what its going to look like under Shaun Hill? PICK: Bengals

3. Washington vs. NY Giants
The Redskins come into this one fighting for their playoff lives and will be fighting with QB Todd Collins who has not started a game in 10 years, but has been in OC Al Saunders offense for 7 seasons dating back to his days in KC. The Giants D will look to put pressure on Collins and force mistakes. The Giants have been desperate for a hint of life from the offense and need 1 win to clinch a playoff berth. Some how the Giants keep finding ways to win. PICK: Giants

4. Chicago vs. Minnesota (Mon.)
The Vikings have been hot, winning 4 in a row and establishing themselves as the team to beat for the 6th NFC playoff slot. Adrian Peterson returned from injury 2 weeks ago, but was held to 3 yds last week. QB Tavaris Jackson has been steady recently making the Vikings a dangerous team come January. The Bears will start their 3rd QB of the year Kyle Orton, who was very successful his rookie season at the helm. The Vikes are on the way up and the Bears on the way down, it looks to remain that way. PICK: Vikings

5. Jacksonville vs. Pittsburgh
Both teams come in 9-4, trying to establish momentum for the playoffs. Both teams possess great running games, but the Steelers are 7-0 at home this season winning those games by an avg. 16 points. PICK: Steelers

6. Arizona vs. New Orleans
Both are fighting for playoff spots, and the winner will still need some help to catch the Vikes. The Cards have been dealing with a banged up WR unit, and a secondary that doesn't stop the other teams passing game. The Saints passing game has been working pretty well and should be able to attack the Arizona secondary. The Saints are without RB Reggie Bush and that may not be such a bad thing as Aaron Stecker rushed for 100 yds last week, something the overrated Bush had not done all season. PICK: Saints

Check back later in the week for results.

Send questions or comments to Tony at TTOHBLOG@hotmail.com

Mitchell Report-Where Is The Proof?


My preliminary response after a fair skim of the Mitchell Report, is that the report is a joke. There is no real hard evidence supporting many of the claims of steroid use. Many of the accounts state, this could have happened, there was speculation, I don't remember... How credible is Kirk Radomski? The guy is only cooperating under a plea agreement to lessen his sentence for steroid distribution, money laundering and tax evasion. The U.S. Attorney's office wouldn't have been interested in his cooperation for him to turn in the Manny Alexanders and the F.P. Santangelos of the world, they wanted big fish and whats to say Radomski is not fabricating his accounts of steroid use by players such as Clemens, Pettite and Tejada to save himself. Absent any concrete evidence; test results, order forms, personal admissions how can anyone put any faith in this report. Radomski supplied numerous cashed checks from players, but as a "clubby" it is not unusual or out of the ordinary for "clubbies" to make purchases for players that would need to be repaid, and players often tip "clubbies" either monthly or at the end of the season. Even more distressing then the fact that Senator Mitchell is a director in the front office of the Boston Red Sox, but he is an attorney who should be familiar with the standards needed to make these accusations in such a large public forum. Mitchell uses very little factual data to support many of his claims and could hear from the attorney's of many of the players accused and possibly defamed in his work (Although highly unlikely because that would open the players to disclosing personal information.) As stated earlier this report was a waste of time and did nothing to help Major League Baseball rehabilitate and/or help baseball deal with the steroid issue.

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Fantasy Football "Keeper Sleepers"


Many "Keeper Leagues" have different rules concerning how many keepers a team carries into next season, or has rules that certain players can't be kept again the next season, etc. Here is a list of players that may be on your leagues waiver wire that will be unrestricted free agents and could see a major increase in value over the offseason. I would consider trying to stash some of these guys for next season if you can.

2008 Free Agents "Keeper Sleepers"

QB Rex Grossman-The Bears may not look to bring him back after a career riddled with injuries and inconsistent play, but there may be a team out there that will give Rex another shot at starting.

RB Michael Turner-The Jewel of the FA RBs, think of Turner leaving the Chargers like when Priest Holmes left the Ravens, and Lamont Jordan (when he was good) left the Jets. Turner will get a starting job somewhere, has little mileage on his legs and should be a low end #1, high end #2 fantasy back next season. If he is on your waiver wire, grab him quick.

RB Julius Jones-There is a good chance Dallas keeps Jones, but this is the opportunity to hand the job to Marion Barber III and let Jones seek a starting job elsewhere. Jones would love to be a #1 guy and had great success when he was the "man" in Big D.

RB Chris Brown-Very inconsistent and injury prone, was a FA this past offseason and didn't get much attention before heading back to the Titans. He has produced in spots and could be in a teams RB platoon next season.

WR Bernard Berrian-Good chance the Bears keep him, but their conservative offense limits his big play ability, Berrian would make a great #2 WR in an offense that can spread the field and utilize his speed.

WR Patrick Crayton-Also, a good chance Dallas brings him back. Crayton has shown he can be a solid #2 WR, even though he is the third option in Dallas. A team like the 49ers or Falcons could overpay him to be a #1, Houston would also be a nice fit for him next to Andre Johnson.

WR DJ Hackett-2 high ankle sprains this season, but when healthy has been dominating, he is a tall receiver teams like. Like Crayton some team may overpay him to be their #1 but is better suited as a strong #2.

WR Bryant Johnson-Former 1st round pick, is getting some play with injuries to Bolden and Fitzgerald but, will probably look to head to a team that will utilize him more.

WR Justin Gage-Slowly becoming VY's go to guy in Tennessee, I see him more as a #2 elsewhere if he leaves music city.

WR Devery Henderson-Struggled big time this season, dropped too many passes, lost his starting job to David Patten, but he had a big 2006, out of the slot for New Orleans and some team may hope he can rebound with them.

Send your questions or comments to TTOHBLOG@hotmail.com

Fantasy Football "On the Rise"

Here are some guys seeing an increase in value this week, they are not listed in order of value.

1. WR Jabar Gaffney NE-A few weeks ago I was shying away from him, but he has a TD in the past 3 games and seems to be getting the balls Stallworth was getting before his case of the "droppsies" Gaffney is still behind Moss and Welker for looks, but could be worth an add.
2. QB Kyle Orton Chi-The spinner lands on Orton this week, Grossman is injured and a FA and they know what Griese gives them, so Orton's play will decide whether Grossman comes back next year. Orton won 10 games as a starter in his rookie season.

3. RB Darius Walker Hou-The rookie from Notre Dame (he left early, and didn't get drafted) should be in line for the start this week with Green on IR and Dayne dealing with an ankle injury.

4. QB Todd Collins Wash-Collins takes over for Jason Campbell and holds the Redskins playoff hopes on his shoulders. I'm not sure how much I trust this guy even after last week's game. I mean this guy took over the Bills after Jim Kelly retired, and hasn't played in years before last Thursday.

5. RB Samkon Gado Mia-Another back down in Miami, Brown, Williams, now Chatman, Gado seems to be next up, I don't recommend any Dolphins at this point.

6. QB Cleo Lemon Mia-Beck was pulled last week after the ball slipped out of my hand into George Wilson's hands for a TD play. The Dolphins are a sinking ship, get off now.

Monday, December 10, 2007

NFL 6 Packs Week 14 Results 5-1


I was 5-1 for the week, but missed the big one. I'm 31-11 for the season, 5-0 on Thursday games, 21-9 on Sunday games and 5-2 on Monday games, here are this week's results;


1. Chicago vs. Washington (Thurs.)
PICK: Redskins RESULT: Redskins 24-16 Not the prettiest of games, both teams lost their QBs, Rex Grossman and Jason Campbell both left the game with injuries. Washington backup QB Todd Collins stepped in and led the Skins to a huge game in the battle for a wildcard spot, and will have to continue to play at a high level to reach that goal/

2. Indianapolis vs. Baltimore
PICK: Colts RESULT: Colts 44-20 As predicted the Ravens had nothing left after their Monday night game with the Patriots. The Colts dominated, jumping out to 30-0 lead at the half. And it was no surprise that WR Marvin Harrison missed another game although it had been speculated he would play.

3. New Orleans vs. Atlanta (Mon.)
PICK: Saints RESULT: Saints 34-14 The Falcons had no chance, and to make things worse for owner Arthur Blank, who is doing everything in his power to put the Michael Vick disaster behind him, had some of his players show support for Vick on the field as well as violating NFL dress code. Some players, after the game stated that they would be a much better team with Vick, then they are, most likely true but not something that should be said publicly. The Falcons are a mess, I would say look for them to clear out a lot of veterans for next season, many of whom have not bought into Bobby Petrino's coaching ideas. UPDATE: Petrino must have realized he had no control, he resigned on Tues. speculation is he is going to Arkansas.

4. Pittsburgh vs. New England
PICK: Steelers RESULT Patriots 34-13 Ok, I took a lot of heat picking against the Patriots, but watching them play and struggle against sub par competition the last 2 weeks, it was easy to pick the Steelers. The Patriots passing game showed up this week and Randy Moss must have been being lazy the past 2 games, because his ankle looked fine to me. Still no sign of a rushing attack for New England (22 yds.) Also, the Patriots D continued to struggle allowing 350 yds but the saving grace was the redzone D which allowed no TD's, the Steelers TD came on a 32 yd pass.

5. NY Giants vs. Philadelphia
PICK: Giants RESULT: Giants 16-13 Its not easy watching a Giants game, my little brother can run a more potent offense on Madden 08. Eli Manning continues to look confused, but the Giants have won 2 of the last 3 without playing more than 1 good quarter of football per week. the Giants D, has kept them in the games as of late, but if the Giants expect to go anywhere, but home in the playoffs they need to get their offense going.

6. Miami vs. Buffalo
PICK: Bills RESULT: Bills 38-17 The Bills were up 31-7 at the half and the Fins made the Bills O look like the Patriots O. Both Buffalo RBs Marshawn Lynch and Fred Jackson (5x5x5 pick) had 100 yard rushing games.

You can email questions or comments to Tony at TTOHBLOG@Hotmail.com

Saturday, December 8, 2007

Heisman Winner is....


QB TIM TEBOW
Florida-Sophmore
Tim is the first sophmore to ever win the Heisman trophy

Thursday, December 6, 2007

NFL 6 Pack Week 14 Picks

"Do You think these plays will work? Nope! Me Neither!

I'm 26-10 for the season, 4-0 on Thursday games, 18-8 on Sunday games and 4-2 on Monday games, here are this week's picks;

1. Chicago vs. Washington (Thurs.)
The Redskins are coming off tough losses on and off the field in the last week and have only had 2 days of practice to prepare for the Bears. Both teams need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. Everything points to the Bears having the advantage in this one, but I'm going with the Skins, because I can't see Rex Grossman playing 3 decent games in a row. PICK: Redskins

2. Indianapolis vs. Baltimore
Will the Ravens have anything left after the heartbreaking loss to the Patriots and the short practice week? Talk about tough schedule, Pats and Colts back to back. The Colts may have (stop me if you have heard this before) WR Marvin Harrison back this week. Regardless of the inspired play the Ravens exhibited on Monday, they are still one of the bottom teams in the league and the Colts are one of the top 5. The Ravens will have a tough time containing the balanced attack of the Colts. PICK: Colts

3. New Orleans vs. Atlanta (Mon.)
Not the top tier Monday night matchup ESPN was looking for. The Falcons will be starting QB Chris Redman for the first time this season. The Saints will be without RB Reggie Bush who appears to be out for the rest of the season. The Saints have won their last 3 road games. New Orleans will rely on their passing attack and Drew Brees (100.5 career rating vs. Atlanta) will lead the Saints to victory. PICK: Saints

4. Pittsburgh vs. New England
The game of the week. The Ravens and Eagles have slowed the Patriots machine down the last 2 weeks by putting pressure on Brady, causing his inaccuracy and disrupting receivers routes. The Steelers' D excels at putting pressure on the QB with their "Blitzburgh" style and if the Patriots fail to establish a running game, they will have trouble keeping the Steelers D from an all out assault on Brady. The Steelers have a more potent offense then the Eagles and Ravens, who were both playing with back up QBs and seem primed to light up the struggling Patriots D. Pittsburgh should get S Troy Polamalu and WR Santonio Holmes back this week. For the Patriots there have been some questions as to whether Randy Moss has a (surprise, concealed)ankle injury or has just been lazy the past 2 games. The Patriots can't beat the Steelers if they play the way they have the past 2 games, but the Steelers 3 losses have all come on the road this year. While I think the Patriots play better this week, I think the Steelers will play with confidence knowing lesser teams have had the Patriots on the ropes. PICK: Steelers

5. NY Giants vs. Philadelphia
Division showdown, not as meaningful as usual, but both teams have some form of playoff aspirations to play for. The Eagles are expected to get back QB Donovan McNabb (ankle), who is basically being given a chance to showcase himself for a trade in the offseason. The Giants hope to get back RB Brandon Jacobs (hamstring.) The last time these 2 teams met McNabb was sacked an embarrassing 12 times! McNabb's mobility should be limited and the Giants pass rush will need to protect their suspect secondary. PICK: Giants

6. Miami vs. Buffalo
The Dolphins are fighting for their first win of the year, and I picked them last week thinking, beating the Jets was their best chance, they got hammered at home. RB Marshawn Lynch has been limited in practice but will try to play. I don't see the Dolphins of south Florida going into Buffalo (expected weather: 20's, icy mix) and doing anything but losing and continuing on their way to an unvictorious season. (If the Dolphins go 0-16, will the 76 Bucs get together for a champagne toast?) PICK: Bills


Check back later in the week for results. You can email questions or comments to Tony at TTOHBLOG@Hotmail.com

Fantasy 5x5x5 Week 14


Each week I list 5 players I would start, 5 I would bench and 5 I might take a chance on.

Also, by now you should know to start your studs like Manning, Brady and LT, if not, you need more then my help. Now that bye weeks have ended most teams should have their core lineup set up, but some people are in leagues that start 2 QBs or 3-4 WRs, and we all must deal with the ill timed injury, so some owners may still need to adjust or tweak their lineups from week to week.
Also, Remember going forward there will be a Thursday night game every week.

Here are 5 guys to start this week:

1. QB Drew Brees NO-The Saints get an awful Falcons team this week. Brees has thrown atleast one TD in 8 straight games and has averaged 2.4 TDs per game in that span.

2. RB Ryan Grant GB-Too bad the Packers didn't know what they had in Grant earlier in the season. The Packers play Oakland who continues to make lesser backs fantasy stars each week. Grant has averaged 94 yds per game in the last 6. And with Favre dealing with multiple injuries the Packers may look to lean more on the running game.

3. RB Clinton Portis Wash-The Skins play the Bears who's defense has been M.I.A. as of late. Portis should be able to exploit the weak run D.

4. RB Kolby Smith KC-As predicted Smith is the first player to be listed on each part of this list in 3 consecutive weeks. Denver has the 31st run D, Smith should be a no-brainer.

5. WR Deion Branch Sea-The Seahawks play the Cardinals this week, whom Branch beat up earlier in the year for 122 yds on 7 grabs. DJ Hackett will still be out and the Seahawks continue to rely on the pass.

5 players to sit this week;

1. QB Kurt Warner AZ-"Captain Flattop" has been putting up some big numbers as of late, but this week he could be without Fitzgerald (groin) and/or Boldin (toe, hip) and even if they play could be hampered by their injuries. Despite having to throw 40+ times, I don't like his chances for more then 1 TD probably to BIG Leonard Pope.

2. QB Jon Kitna Det-Kitna lost Roy Williams last week, he continues to get sacked like the o-line is a subway turnstile. He also called out teammates for quitting. Combine that with the fact that the Lions play the Cowboys and I don't like Kitna to do much more then spend the afternoon on his back staring up at the cieling of Ford Field.

3. RB Frank Gore SF-Gore had a small resurgence 2 weeks ago and had over 100 total yards last week but gets the Vikings this week, who are the #1 Run D. With the 49ers passing game in shambles look for the Vikes to shut down Gore.

4. QB Jason Campbell Wash-Campbell has had a turnover problem recently with 7 in the past 3 games. The Bears D hasn't been the "Monsters of the Midway" this year but Washington should be looking to establish the run this week and play it safe with Campbell.

5. TE Tony Gonzalez KC-Although Gonzo had 1o catches for 140 yds last week he tends to struggle on the road and has no TDs away from Arrowhead this season. Plus, when KC plays Denver Gonzo is usually covered by Champ Bailiey.

5 guys to take a chance on this week;

1. RB Fred Jackson Buf-Who? Exactly, but with Lynch still limited in practice and the "A-Train" on IR. Jackson could get another start (151 total yards last week) against the lowly Dolphins and their pathetic run D, now without Zach Thomas for the rest of the year. Check Lynch's status, but good chance to atleast split carries.

2. WR Bryant Johnson AZ-For the same reason's Warner is a sit this week, Johnson may be worth a shot, because Warner has to throw to someone when he airs it out 40+ times. Johnson is a former 1st round pick from Penn State. He has averaged 68 yds and .5 TDs in the last 2 games.

3. RB Adrian Peterson Chi-"The Other" AP should be the focus of the Bears attack against the Skins, the Bears will run him and use him in the pass game, I can see him topping 100 total yards.

4. RB Ron Dayne Hou-A player I usually bash "Fat" Ron, but for the 2nd year in a row he is finishing strong. Dayne is dealing with an ankle injury but is expected to play. The Bucs run D is middle of the road allowing 104 ypg and Dayne could be good for a score.

5. WR Sidney Rice Min-This week's big chance (Last week Frerotte had 3 TDs); I have been mocking the Vikes passing game all year, but lately they have been looking better and Rice seems to be T-Jax favorite target, Rice averaged 55yds in his last 4 games and has 3 TDs in those 4 games. The Vikes will probably give the Niners a steady dose of Peterson, but Rice might be able to grab a TD.

Wednesday, December 5, 2007

Friday Night Lights "Seeing Other People"


The episode begins with the Panthers losing their game badly. We see Julie and teacher Noah talking in the stands, and Tami doesn't like it at all. Why the team is upset about the loss, Smash is running his mouth about how pretty he is and bragging about his upcoming recruiting trip to fictional McNair State, "where your cup is always full, and the girls never say no, its going to be like Cabo in my pants." The "transfer cheerleader" is finally given a name, Lauren, who invites Matt to spend the night because her parents are out of town, but Matt declines saying he needs to go home and see his Grandma, but he really goes to see "Grandma's nurse" also finally given a name, Carlotta. When he gets home, she tells him that there is nothing going on between them. A police officer comes to school to talk to Tyra, the officer lets Tyra know that her attacker's brother is meeting with some of the victims, to apologize for his brother's actions. Tyra agrees to meet with him. Coach Taylor walks in on Tami and Glen having lunch, Taylor is getting a little jealous of the time Glen has been spending with Tami. Tami tells coach Taylor she needs a night out, away from the baby, that the teachers are having a bunko night. Smash gets to McNair State, and they show some players walking him through the weight room, and they're all like, Smash we need you here, blah, blah. One rather large player Katrell, doesn't seem all that impressed with the Smash. Riggans tells Guy, the fat guy he is staying with, that insists on walking around in his underwear, that he really misses football, Guy tells Riggans he will take him hunting, that it will make him forget football. Tami pulls Noah aside and yells at him for spending too much time with Julie, and tells him she finds him inappropriate, she says she can have him fired, have Coach Taylor beat the crap out of him and thrown into prison. Some of the students witness this, and when Julie finds out she storms into Tami's office, crying that she has no business telling Noah not to spend time with her. Tyra tells Landry about the meeting with her attacker's brother, and Landry says he will go for her and talk to the brother. The McNair St. guys take Smash out to a club and a party and introduce him to some ladies, one of which Smash ends up leaving with. While he is getting in on with her, back in her dorm room, there is loud banging on her door, apparently big Katrell is her boyfriend, and Smash takes off running down the hallway in his boxers, down the stairs, jumps a fence and keeps running to escape, its probably the best I've seen Smash run in 2 seasons. Katrell tells Smash he better find another school. Saracen comes and picks him up sometime the next morning. Landry goes and meets with the brother, and the brother doesn't understand how his brother could have done those things. Landry has some choice words for him and the brother leaves. Saracen makes another move on Carlotta, by kissing her, only to have Lauren show up at the door. On Smash' advice Saracen, tells Lauren he wants to see other people. She is none too pleased and Saracen is free to pursue Carlotta (Tony called this weeks ago.) Tami and Coach Taylor have another conversation about Glen, Coach Taylor feels that is disrespectful to him and the family. Tami, tells him he can sleep on the couch, so she can get some sleep and pay more attention to her family. Landry is sitting alone in the diner and Lyla comes over and asks him if he is ok, he says he has a secret that is eating away at him. Riggans enters a trailer on Guy's property and discovers a Meth lab, Guy finds him and says lucky your cool dude, or I'd have to kill you. Riggans shows up at practice in his uniform and Coach Taylor tells him to get off his field. Riggans says he is not leaving, Taylor says you let this team down. Riggans starts apologizing to individual players and finally Taylor tells him to take his spot. Did anyone really think they were going to keep Riggans off the team? I mean the only Panther jersey available on nbc.com is a Riggans jersey. Saracen and Carlotta finally hook up after he tells her he broke up with Lauren and that he did it because he can't stop thinking about her. And the much hyped Landry turns himself in storyline for this episode, basically gets pushed to next week, as the show ends with Landry walking into the police station, saying he has information about the murder.
Next Week: Landry really turns himself in; Was it murder or self defense? Will he be convicted?

Monday, December 3, 2007

NFL 6 Pack Week 13 Results 5-1




I was 5-1 for the second week in a row and 26-10 for the season. Overall a lot of controversial referee calls determined some games this week (3, I picked) Here are this week's results;

1. Green Bay vs. Dallas (Thurs)
PICK: Dallas RESULT: Cowboys 37-27 Dallas was able to exploit the injuries in the GB secondary and besides the strip of TO, the refs botched, and the tipped INT in the endzone, CB Al Harris didn't play like the Pro Bowler I have been pimping him out to be. Losing Favre in the first half with multiple arm injuries could have spelled disaster for the Packers but I was impressed with the play of Aaron Rodgers. I wonder if San Fran still thinks they picked the right QB (Alex Smith in the 05 Draft) And how about that call on Crayton (2 TDs) in the 5x5x5?

2. Cincinatti vs. Pittsburgh
PICK: Pittsburgh RESULT: Steelers 24-10 Another muddy game in Pittsburgh, but the Steelers look ready to take on the mighty Patriots next week. Big Ben was involved in 3 TDs and the weather contributed to some fumblitis by Willie Parker, but the Bengals don't even look like they want to be on the field anymore.

3. New England vs. Baltimore
PICK: Patriots RESULT: Patriots 27-24 The second straight sloppy game for the Patriots against a losing team, but they managed to escape, once again unblemished but not without controversy. The Ravens played their best game, pressuring Brady and were the better team for most of the game Monday night, but a 4th down stop that would have ended the game, was disallowed when the referees allowed a timeout called by the Ravens D coach R. Ryan, NFL rules only allow the 11 players on the field or the head coach to call a timeout. On the do over the Patriots converted and continued their drive. Then on another 4th down, a controversial defensive holding call gave New England a first and goal situation. Then Jabar Gafney caught a TD pass on the side of the endzone that was reviewed and it was ruled that he had control, despite the talk Tues. morning on a 2005 precedent on a similar play saying that he would not have had possession. The Ravens complained that they couldn't beat the Pats and the Refs, the Ravens had this game won possibly 3 times and each time the Patriots got the benefit of the doubt. The Patriots D continues to be pushed around and severely missed LB Rosey Colvin as the Ravens normally dormant offense put up almost 400 yards. Just like when the Eagles pressured Brady last week his accuracy was down, but once again he was plagued by numerous dropped passes. The Patriots face their toughest remaining opponent next week, the Steelers, could this be the team that ends the streak? There is a good chance if the Pats continue to play the way they have the past 2 games. Funny how ever since I mentioned the Pats tempting karma that they have not played well.

4. NY Giants vs. Chicago
PICK: Giants RESULT: Giants 21-16 After playing 7 consecutive quarters of awful football, Eli Manning led the G-men on 2 scoring drives in the 4th quarter to get the come from behind win. The Giants pass rush did a good job of getting to Rex Grossman and keeping the game close.

5. Cleveland vs. Arizona
PICK:Arizona RESULT: Cardinals 27-21 I was hoping for a higher scoring shootout game but it ended up being one of the better games of the weekend, and it had a controversial ending, on the last play of the game TE "The Soldier" Kellen Winlsow caught what could have been the winning TD, but the refs ruled he did not land in bounds and despite being hit by 2 Cards defenders it was not a force out. The Browns got lucky a few weeks ago when the got the lucky bounce on the FG, that was overturned to allow them to beat the Ravens in OT.

6. NY Jets vs. Miami
PICK: Miami RESULT: Jets 40-13 The Dolphins are AWFUL! I went with them thinking if this team is going to win, they have to beat the almost as awful Jets, but no, the Fins got steamrolled. They are on their way to becoming the first franchise with a perfect season and unvictorious season.

Fantasy Football "On the Rise"


Here are some guys who may see an increase in value this week, they are not listed in order of value;

Hopefully, you guys listened last week and grabbed "The other" Adrian Peterson who had over 150 total yards and QB Gus Frerotte who threw for 3 TDs and with the Rams season just about over, there is no need to rush Bulger back.

1. WRs Shaun McDonald and Mike Furrey Det-With the news that Roy Williams will miss the rest of the season. McDonald and Furrey each move up a notch on the depth chart and with all the passses the Lions throw, somebody has to be catching them. The Lions remaining schedule is pretty tough and should have them playing from behind and passing often.

2. RB Fred Jackson Buf-Marshawn Lynch and Anthony Thomas missed the game yesterday and Fred Jackson stepped in and put 151 total yards, granted 22 yds came on the first play of the game where the Redskins paid tribute to Sean Taylor by only putting 10 defenders on the field. Regardless, the Bills have the Dolphins next week and if Jackson gets the start, he should be able to do some damage, even Thomas Jones got a TD (as predicted in 5x5x5).

3. QB Kyle Boller Balt-Steve McNair is going on IR, so its Boller's job, he can't be any worse then McNair was and if he is you should grab Heisman guy Troy Smith. The Ravens were really smart to cut that Derek Anderson guy last year.

4. QB Sage Rosenfels Hou-Seems like Rosenfels is on this list every other week, after dislocating his shoulder (maybe now he feels David Carr's pain) he may be out for the year, Rosenfels has been a solid backup and could use this time to showcase his skills to other teams.

5. QB Chris Redman Atl-If you need to play any Falcons QB, you are in BIG trouble, Redman hasn't played football in 2 seasons and even if he continues to start he is just providing game tape for Brian Brohm or Matt Ryan to watch.

6. WR Justin Gage Ten-Vince Young has been throwing more and Gage has benefited, averaging 80yds and .5 TDs in his last 4.

Tony's Top 5


Tony Top 5

Rank Team (Record) wins over ranked opponents

1. LSU (11-2) Virgina Tech, S. Carolina, Florida, Auburn, Alabama, Tennessee
2. Oklahoma (11-2) Missouri (twice), Texas
3. Ohio State (11-1) Penn State, Wisconsin, Michigan
4. USC (10-2) Nebraska, California, Arizona State
5. Georgia (10-2) Alabama, Florida, Auburn, Kentucky

Fell out of last week's top 5; West Virginia, Missourri

Sunday, December 2, 2007

Tony's 5 College Picks Results 4-1


I was 4-1 this week, 10-1 in the last 2 weeks and now I'm 22-9 for the season.
1. MAC-Central Michigan vs. Miami of Ohio @ Detroit
PICK: C. Michigan RESULT: C.Michigan 35-10 Too much Chippewas' offense for Miami of Ohio. QB Dan LeFevour reached 3000 passing yards and 1000 rushing yards for the season.

2. C-USA-Tulsa vs. Central Florida @ Orlando
PICK: Tulsa RESULT: C. Florida 44-25 Both Co-Conference USA POYs had huge days, but it was UCF RB Kevin Smith who led his team to victory and possibly started his Heisman campaign for next season. Smith rushed 284 yds and 4 TDs putting him within striking distance of Barry Sanders' single season record, and he will get his shot in the Bowl game vs. Mississippi State. Tulsa QB Paul Smith threw for over 4oo yds and 4 TDs but he also had 3 big INTs, Smith appeared to be playing injured and Tulsa had a hard time sustaining drives.

3. ACC-#5 Virginia Tech vs. #12 Boston College @ Jacksonville
PICK: Virginia Tech RESULT: Virginia Tech 30-16 V-Tech avenged their earlier season loss and earned themselves a trip to the Orange Bowl. This was a closely contested game, but QB Sean Glennon came up big for the Hokies and 2 late INTs deep in their own territory halted the BC comeback attempt. I can't wait to see what Matt Ryan can do at the next level because this "dink and dunk" offense BC runs and its lack of impact players really don't allow Ryan to show how good he really is. S Jamie Silva also had a big game and really upped his draft stock by returning to school this year.

4. SEC-#7 LSU vs. #15 Tennessee @ Atlanta
PICK: LSU RESULT: LSU 21-14 LSU played without starting QB Matt Flynn but backup Ryan Perrilloux was able to step in, and hew was helped by Jacob Hester's 120 yds on the ground and the Defense chipped in a TD to end the Volunteers 5 game winning streak. LSU got a well deserved spot in the BCS championship game and coach Les Miles turned down his dream job at Michigan to stay at LSU.

5. Big 12-#2 Missouri vs. #8 Oklahoma @ San Antonio
PICK:Oklahoma RESULT: Oklahoma 38-17 Oklahoma was the best team I saw this weekend, their Defense was fast to the ball and left QB Chase Daniel shaking his head in disbelief. QB Sam Bradford appeared completely recovered from his concussion and runs a very efficient offense, especially for a redshirt freshman. In a perfect world Oklahoma would play LSU for the for the National title, but this isn't a perfect world, its a BCS world. Oklahoma returns just about their entire team next season, don't be surprised if they open the season #1.

Rankings used are from the USA Today Poll

Week 13 Inactive Report


Make sure your players are active this week;